UFC 100 Proves MMA Isn’t Going Anywhere
by Derek Constable
The Ultimate Fighting Championship will reach a historic milestone on July 11 — UFC 100 — and while some of the sport’s original critics chose to believe that mixed martial arts would be a passing fad (like rap music) … 16 years later fight fans are religiously tuning in for monthly PAY-PER-VIEWs and always on the couch Wednesday night’s where they can catch a weekly installment of Spike TV’s The Ultimate Fighter series.
UFC 100 has been billed as the event to top all events this year, but in reality its an average fight card with a very memorable thee-digit number attached to it. UFC 94 in January for instance featured George St. Pierre vs. B.J. Penn as the main event and never have I seen such support for MMA amidst a Super Bowl weekend in Las Vegas. Sure, there were Cardinals and Steelers jerseys to be seen around the casinos, butt in reality it looked like a civil war had been moved to the desert and lines were clearly drawn between Hawaii and Canada.
I met two fight fans from Montreal that trip who told me that they’d bought one way plane tickets, two passes to UFC 94 and then emptied the rest of their wallets at the sports book with a $1,000 each on ‘GSP.’ Now, that’s dedication!
UFC 100 is more about the number than the matchups themselves. It proves to everyone that MMA is not “human cockfighting” … it’s a sport and one which deserves as much respect as any of the others recapped on ESPN day in and day out.
It features athletes from the United States and abroad and is one of the only sports which can truly claim to crown “World Champions.” I’ve never seen the Yankees play a team from overseas in the World Series but I’ve certainly watched men from the United States face the toughest in the world (Brazil, Russia, Canada, etc.) while defending the coveted UFC Championship.
Breakdown of the fights for UFC 100 on July 11 in Las Vegas, NV
UFC HEAVYWEIGHT CHAMPIONSHIP: BROCK LESNAR v. Frank Mir
How is it Frank Mir defeated Brock Lesnar before he ever became champion and yet Mir is the underdog going into this fight. It’s disgraceful that Lesnar got a title shot against Randy Couture so early in his career. While every one else from Rashad Evans to Thiago Alves had to earn their way to the top, Lesnar got to cut in line because of his pure size and popularity from World Wrestling Entertainment. He’s got a long way to go before he get’s the respect a UFC Champion deserves. Knocking out Randy with a toaster sized fist to the back of the head does not impress me.
PREDICTION: Frank Mir by Submission R2.
UFC WELTWEIGHT CHAMPIONSHIP: GEORGE ST. PIERRE v. Thiago Alves
I said a year ago I thought the only weltweight in the UFC with a shot at beating GSP was Thiago Alves and now it seems I’ve gotten my wish. The guy’s got crazy jiu-jitsu but never really needs to use it since he’s so exposive on his feet. Alves is every bit as dangerous a striker as GSP and I don’t see him being taken down as easily as B.J. Penn was for just that reason. Thiago’s also got no neck, so if he and George get into a headkicking contest I don’t see Alves getting into trouble there.
PREDICTION: Thiago Alves by TKO R2.
Dan Henderson v. Michael Bisping
the two coaches from the most recent edition of Spike TV’s TUF series will finally meet in the cage after a ton of hype’s been built up by the T.V. show. Bisping is a former contestant on the show but never got a title shot at 205 and now is looking to build reputation as a top contender at 185. Henderson is a former dual title holder in PRIDE and was champion at both middleweight and light heavyweight a short time ago, but he wasn’t able to dethrone champions Anderson Silva or Quinton Jackson when he signed with the UFC in 2007. Henderson is coming off two straight wins including one over former UFC Champion Rich Franklin. Both of these fighters have good boxing, but Bisping doesn’t really carry any knockout power and Henderson’s Olympic level wrestling should prove far superior. Look for Hendo to dictate the action in this one and either knockout Bisping on his feet, or wrestler like there’s no tomorrow maintain good position.
PREDICTION: Henderson by split decision.
Jon Fitch v. Paulo Thiago
Jon Fitch… legitimate badass, went five rounds with GSP for the welterweight title! Enough said. Paulo Thiago… he’s Brazilian and his name is Paulo Thiago! I mean the guy’s last name is just as badass as his first, come on! Thiago just KO’d Josh Koscheck in under two minutes to improve to 6-0 and the only place his name shows up before the UFC is with the very repuatable Jungle Fight organization where he won five fights consecutively by decision or first round submission. This will be a war where either Thiago gets the best of Fitch with a crazy submission or Fitch be in his face the entire fight for a win clear cut decision.
PREDICTION: Fitch by unanimous decision.
Jon Jones v. Jacob O’Brien
O’Brien will be coming down from heavyweight to light-heavyweight after two consecutive losses to heavyweight powerhouses Cain Velasquez and Andrei Arlovski, but unfortunately for him he’ll be facing the 205 division’s newest sensation Jon “BONES” Jones.
Both of these guys are wrestlers, both of these guys have wins by TKO, but Jones is too fast, too elusive and too good to be stopped in his prime by this guy. I don’t know any better wrestlers than Jon at 205 except maybe Rashad Evans and at 6-foot-5 he’ll control the fight on his feet too, even against a big boy like O’Brien.
Completely biased opinion here — Jon’s a friend of mine — he’s gonna smoke this fool just like he did Stephon Bonnar.
PREDICTION: Jon Jones by TKO R1.
Jim Miller v. Mac Danzig
Everyone is really impressed with Mac Danzig and for good reason. He’s got over 20 fights, a winning record, and was the eventual winner of TUF Season 6, but don’t sleep on Jim Miller from Sparta, N.J.
Miller trains with UFC veteran Frankie Edgar and is the younger brother of UFC middlweight fighter Dan Miller. While Dan’s resume includes a handful of first round submissions and plenty of wins by decision, Jim is just the opposite, usually winning his fights by decision or third round submission.
His cardio is excellent, his wrestling and boxing are good and he never quits on himself. If Miller isn’t controlling the tempo, he’s merely grinding out the minutes and waiting for that one opportunity to strike. This will be a tough test for Miller, but I bet he’s up for it.
PREDICTION: Miller by Submission R3.
other notable matchups for 100 include:
Stephan Bonnar v. Mark Coleman
Alan Belcher v. Yoshihiro Akiyama
Tom Lawlor v. C.B. Dollaway
Jonathon Goulet v. Dong Hyun Kim
Shannon Gugerty v. Matt Grice